Sketches

The Two-Cultures Split Revisited

March 18, 2010 · 2 Comments

David Naylor, the president of the University of Toronto, said this week that the international Holberg Memorial Prize of $785,000 to the Toronto social historian Natalie Zemon Davis was a “fantastic boost” to the university’s social science, arts and humanities faculties, which in recent years had suffered a decline in funding and support.

Such a decline has been dramatic in various degrees in all universities in the developed world. When leaders stress the need to be competitive, they mean competitive in math, science and engineering, not in history, the social sciences, literature and the fine arts.

David Naylor said: “How we understand each other on this troubled planet is way more important to our children’s future than the latest digital gadget.”

To many serious-minded scientists this must be self-evident because the development of “the latest digital gadget” does not represent the ultimate purpose of their existence. Still, it was clearly the purpose of David Naylor to plead for a correction in the balance between the two cultures, between the scientist and the traditional literary intellectual, of which C.P. Snow spoke in the middle of the last century. This concern followed the painful shock the West suffered when the Soviets developed the A-bomb and launched their Sputnik. These developments demonstrated that the West no longer had a monopoly in the training of the kind of experts who later made it possible to land on the moon. This was before Japan and China threw down the gauntlet.

In C.P. Snow’s days it was not unheard of for a Greek scholar in Oxford or Cambridge to look down on “philistines” like chemists and physicists with disdain. We now think of the two cultures as consisting of the pure and applied sciences, engineering, medicine and mathematics, on one side – they receive most of the funding – and religion, the humanities and the social sciences on the other.

In recent years the issue of climate change has clouded the picture. The whistle-blowers were the scientists, representing Culture Number One. Their warnings had a dramatic impact on the disciples of Culture Number Two, raising the question in their minds, consciously or unconsciously, whether the scientists were to be believed. One had to keep in mind that on fundamentals scientists all over the world were in agreement. (Let us put aside for a moment such nuisance-issues as misdemeanors at the university of East Anglia, which encouraged the skeptics.)

On what grounds, other than disbelief in science as such, were the scientists’ findings to be doubted? Surely not on the grounds that the matter was too big, too novel or too complicated for ordinary people to grasp. This should be approached, not in terms of politics and public opinion, but as an intellectual issue.

And that leads one inexorably to the conclusion that only on religious grounds can the scientists be disputed.

Should one, therefore, redefine the two cultures as science and the rest of the traditional disciplines – and religion?

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The Strong and the Weak in Europe

March 17, 2010 · Leave a Comment

In the last week or two we received the impression that Germany was about to save Greece from bankruptcy.

If we are to believe yesterday’s STRATFOR analysis, that is now what is going to happen.

STRATFOR’s global team of intelligence professionals provides an audience of decision-makers and sophisticated news consumers in the U.S. and around the world with unique insights into political, economic, and military developments.

This is an excerpt.

What made us look at this in a new light was an interview with German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble on March 13 in which he essentially said that if Greece, or any other eurozone member, could not right their finances, they should be ejected from the eurozone. This really got our attention. It is not so much that there is no legal way to do this. (And there is not; Greece is a full EU member, and eurozone membership issues are clearly a category where any member can veto any major decision.) Instead, what jumped out at us is that someone of Schauble’s gravitas doesn’t go about casually making threats, and this is not the sort of statement made by a country that is constrained, harnessed, submerged or placated. It is not even the sort of statement made by just any EU member, but rather by the decisive member. Germany now appears prepared not just to contemplate, but to publicly contemplate, the re-engineering of Europe for its own interests. It may not do it, or it may not do it now, but it has now been said, and that will change Germany’s relationship to Europe.

A closer look at the euro’s effects indicates why Schauble felt confident enough to take such a bold stance.

Part of being within the same currency zone means being locked into the same market. One must compete with everyone else in that market for pretty much everything. This allows Slovaks to qualify for mortgage loans at the same interest rates the Dutch enjoy, but it also means that efficient Irish workers are actively competing with inefficient Spanish workers – or more to the issue of the day, that ultra-efficient German workers are competing directly with ultra-inefficient Greek workers….

The paradigm that created the European Union – that Germany would be harnessed and contained – is shifting. Germany now has not only found its voice, it is beginning to express, and hold to, its own national interest. A political consensus has emerged in Germany against bailing out Greece. Moreover, a political consensus has emerged in Germany that the rules of the eurozone are Germany’s to refashion. As the European Union’s anchor member, Germany has a very good point. But this was not the “union” the rest of Europe signed up for – it is the Mitteleuropa that the rest of Europe will remember well.

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